Mexican Election Coverage
We’re tracking the latest storylines, opinion polls and economic indicators in the lead up to Mexico’s July 1 presidential election. Since the nation has only one national vote and no second round, the winning candidate is likely to emerge with a third or less of public support, making small changes in support all the more important.
https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2018-mexican-election/?utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&utm_term=180302&utm_campaign=bop
Peña Nieto Finally Stands Up to Trump -- And Gets the Applause Apr 6, 2018,
Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto earned plaudits from across opposing political circles after calling on President Donald Trump to direct his grievances toward U.S. policy instead of taking it out on Mexico. The comments, made in a 5-minute video message Thursday, mark the strongest rebuff from Mexico’s presidency to Trump, immediately becoming the focus of the election campaign.
Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, one of the president’s most ardent critics and the frontrunner in the July 1 vote, said he “celebrated” Peña Nieto’s response to Trump. Runner-up Ricardo Anaya, who’s pledged to investigate Peña Nieto, tweeted that the president’s televised criticism of his U.S. counterpart was the correct thing to do. Both Lopez Obrador and Anaya had pledged earlier this year to stop turning Mexico into a doormat for Trump if they became president, accusing Peña Nieto of being too soft on the man who’d called some Mexican immigrants rapists. Now Peña Nieto’s call for unity, his praise of all presidential candidates, and his swipe at Trump appeared to strike just the right tone, creating a rare moment of harmony in a campaign that’s shaping up to be one of Mexico’s most contentious.
The big question is who stands to win from a more direct confrontation with Trump? Carlos Petersen of Eurasia Group says the president’s PRI party candidate, Jose Antonio Meade (currently polling third) may benefit marginally for this episode because the president has used an outside threat to rally leaders behind him.
In the meantime, we have updated our poll tracker with one new survey, which shows again Lopez Obrador comfortably in the lead. With less than three months to the vote, the Morena candidate is 18.5 percentage points clear on top, followed by Anaya, who’s now ahead of Meade by more than seven percentage points.
45.4%
MORENA
26.9%
PAN
19.5%
PRI
8.2%
Independent
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